Chance of Wrong · forecast accuracy

Tracking Xweather forecasts vs actuals for 50 US state capitals

Locations
50
US state capitals
Hourly obs
0
0 forecast rows
Temp MAE (7d)
0 matched hours
Last good run
Never
Run bin/collect.php

Accuracy by capital

Mean absolute error (°F) using the earliest stored forecast for each hour vs the observed temperature. Lower is better. Ranked best → worst.

No matched forecast/actual pairs yet. After a few collection cycles and real hours pass, accuracy will appear here.

Recent hour matches

Each row pairs an observation with the earliest forecast we had for that hour.

No data yet.