Chance of Wrong · forecast accuracy

Tracking Xweather forecasts vs actuals for 50 US state capitals

← Dashboard · Utah · America/Denver · 40.76, -111.89

Latest observation
82.0°F
2026-07-14 08:00 UTC · Mostly Cloudy
Hour samples (7d)
1
Forecast ↔ actual matches
Hourly MAE
1.00°
Earliest forecast vs actual

Forecast evolution

How the forecast for 2026-07-14 08:00 UTC changed each time we re-collected, before that hour arrived (and including collections at that hour).

Collected at Forecast temp Feels like PoP % Weather
2026-07-14 07:00 UTC 83.0°F 81.0°F 0 Mostly Clear

Hourly accuracy

Hour (UTC) Forecast Actual Error Lead (h)
2026-07-14 08:00 UTC 83.0°F 82.0°F +1.0° 1.0

Daily high / low

Earliest daily forecast vs observed calendar-day max/min (from hourly obs in local time).

Local date Fcst high Act high High err Fcst low Act low Low err
2026-07-14 101.0°F 83.0°F +18.0° 72.0°F 82.0°F -10.0°