Tracking Xweather forecasts vs actuals for 50 US state capitals
← Dashboard · Connecticut · America/New_York · 41.77, -72.67
How the forecast for 2026-07-14 12:00 UTC changed each time we re-collected, before that hour arrived (and including collections at that hour).
| Collected at | Forecast temp | Feels like | PoP % | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 06:00 UTC | 74.0°F | 74.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 07:00 UTC | 75.0°F | 75.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 08:00 UTC | 75.0°F | 75.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 09:00 UTC | 75.0°F | 75.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 10:00 UTC | 75.0°F | 75.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 11:00 UTC | 75.0°F | 75.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| Hour (UTC) | Forecast | Actual | Error | Lead (h) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 12:00 UTC | 74.0°F | 76.0°F | -2.0° | 6.0 |
| 2026-07-14 11:00 UTC | 70.0°F | 71.0°F | -1.0° | 5.0 |
| 2026-07-14 10:00 UTC | 68.0°F | 70.0°F | -2.0° | 4.0 |
| 2026-07-14 09:00 UTC | 69.0°F | 70.0°F | -1.0° | 3.0 |
| 2026-07-14 08:00 UTC | 69.0°F | 71.0°F | -2.0° | 2.0 |
| 2026-07-14 07:00 UTC | 70.0°F | 71.0°F | -1.0° | 1.0 |
| Collected | Temp | PoP | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 06:00 UTC | 70.0°F | 0 | Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 07:00 UTC | 71.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 08:00 UTC | 71.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 09:00 UTC | 71.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 10:00 UTC | 71.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
Earliest daily forecast vs observed calendar-day max/min (from hourly obs in local time).
| Local date | Fcst high | Act high | High err | Fcst low | Act low | Low err |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | 96.0°F | 76.0°F | +20.0° | 75.0°F | 70.0°F | +5.0° |