Tracking Xweather forecasts vs actuals for 50 US state capitals
← Dashboard · Arizona · America/Phoenix · 33.45, -112.07
How the forecast for 2026-07-14 09:00 MST changed each time we re-collected, before that hour arrived (and including collections at that hour). Times are local (America/Phoenix).
| Collected at (local) | Forecast temp | Feels like | PoP % | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 23:00 MST | 97.0°F | 101.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 00:00 MST | 96.0°F | 100.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 01:00 MST | 96.0°F | 100.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 02:00 MST | 96.0°F | 100.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 03:00 MST | 96.0°F | 100.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 04:00 MST | 92.0°F | 95.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 05:00 MST | 92.0°F | 95.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 06:00 MST | 92.0°F | 95.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 07:00 MST | 92.0°F | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-14 08:00 MST | 92.0°F | — | — | — |
| Hour (local) | Forecast | Actual | Error | Lead (h) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 09:00 MST | 97.0°F | 89.0°F | +8.0° | 10.0 |
| 2026-07-14 08:00 MST | 93.0°F | 86.0°F | +7.0° | 9.0 |
| 2026-07-14 07:00 MST | 91.0°F | 83.0°F | +8.0° | 8.0 |
| 2026-07-14 06:00 MST | 88.0°F | 82.0°F | +6.0° | 7.0 |
| 2026-07-14 05:00 MST | 89.0°F | 82.0°F | +7.0° | 6.0 |
| 2026-07-14 04:00 MST | 90.0°F | 82.0°F | +8.0° | 5.0 |
| 2026-07-14 03:00 MST | 91.0°F | 83.0°F | +8.0° | 4.0 |
| 2026-07-14 02:00 MST | 93.0°F | 82.0°F | +11.0° | 3.0 |
| 2026-07-14 01:00 MST | 93.0°F | 82.0°F | +11.0° | 2.0 |
| 2026-07-14 00:00 MST | 94.0°F | 81.0°F | +13.0° | 1.0 |
| Collected (local) | Temp | PoP | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 23:00 MST | 93.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 00:00 MST | 93.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 01:00 MST | 93.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 02:00 MST | 93.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 03:00 MST | 93.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 04:00 MST | 88.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 05:00 MST | 88.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 06:00 MST | 88.0°F | 0 | Mostly Sunny |
| 2026-07-14 07:00 MST | 88.0°F | — | — |
Earliest daily forecast vs finalized calendar-day max/min (only after the local day ends).
| Local date | Fcst high | Act high | High err | Fcst low | Act low | Low err |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | 106.0°F | 108.0°F | -2.0° | 87.0°F | 77.6°F | +9.4° |