Chance of Wrong · forecast accuracy

Tracking Xweather forecasts vs actuals for 50 US state capitals

← Dashboard · Arizona · America/Phoenix · 33.45, -112.07

Latest observation
96.0°F
2026-08-28 05:00 MST · temp 96.0°F · feels 96.0°F · RH 26% · dew 56.0°F · wind 8.0 mph
Hour samples (7d)
181
Temperature matches
Temp MAE
2.66°
Earliest forecast vs actual

Hourly accuracy — Temperature

Click an hour to load its forecast evolution above. Switch metrics with the control above.

Hour (local) Forecast Actual Error Lead (h)
2026-08-28 05:00 MST 90.0°F 96.0°F -6.0° 48.0
2026-08-28 04:00 MST 91.0°F 97.0°F -6.0° 48.0
2026-08-28 03:00 MST 92.0°F 97.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-08-28 02:00 MST 93.0°F 98.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-08-28 01:00 MST 95.0°F 99.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-28 00:00 MST 97.0°F 100.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 23:00 MST 98.0°F 101.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 22:00 MST 100.0°F 102.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 21:00 MST 103.0°F 105.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 20:00 MST 105.0°F 107.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 19:00 MST 107.0°F 108.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 18:00 MST 110.0°F 109.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 17:00 MST 112.0°F 111.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 16:00 MST 112.0°F 111.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 15:00 MST 112.0°F 110.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 14:00 MST 112.0°F 107.0°F +5.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 13:00 MST 110.0°F 105.0°F +5.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 12:00 MST 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 11:00 MST 106.0°F 104.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 10:00 MST 102.0°F 102.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 09:00 MST 97.0°F 97.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 08:00 MST 93.0°F 97.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 07:00 MST 92.0°F 96.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 06:00 MST 90.0°F 96.0°F -6.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 05:00 MST 89.0°F 96.0°F -7.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 04:00 MST 90.0°F 96.0°F -6.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 03:00 MST 91.0°F 96.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 02:00 MST 92.0°F 98.0°F -6.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 01:00 MST 94.0°F 102.0°F -8.0° 48.0
2026-08-27 00:00 MST 97.0°F 101.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 23:00 MST 99.0°F 102.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 22:00 MST 101.0°F 104.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 21:00 MST 104.0°F 107.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 20:00 MST 106.0°F 108.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 19:00 MST 109.0°F 111.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 18:00 MST 111.0°F 112.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 17:00 MST 114.0°F 113.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 16:00 MST 114.0°F 115.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 15:00 MST 114.0°F 115.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 14:00 MST 115.0°F 114.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 13:00 MST 113.0°F 114.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 12:00 MST 110.0°F 110.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 11:00 MST 108.0°F 108.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 10:00 MST 103.0°F 105.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 09:00 MST 99.0°F 100.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 08:00 MST 94.0°F 95.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 07:00 MST 93.0°F 91.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 06:00 MST 91.0°F 91.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 05:00 MST 90.0°F 96.0°F -6.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 04:00 MST 91.0°F 94.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 03:00 MST 92.0°F 97.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 02:00 MST 93.0°F 96.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 01:00 MST 94.0°F 99.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-08-26 00:00 MST 95.0°F 99.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 23:00 MST 98.0°F 100.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 22:00 MST 100.0°F 104.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 21:00 MST 102.0°F 106.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 20:00 MST 104.0°F 108.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 19:00 MST 106.0°F 112.0°F -6.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 18:00 MST 108.0°F 113.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 17:00 MST 110.0°F 113.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 16:00 MST 110.0°F 113.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 15:00 MST 110.0°F 114.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 14:00 MST 110.0°F 112.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 13:00 MST 108.0°F 111.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 12:00 MST 105.0°F 107.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 11:00 MST 103.0°F 105.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 10:00 MST 99.0°F 103.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 09:00 MST 96.0°F 98.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 08:00 MST 92.0°F 94.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 07:00 MST 91.0°F 91.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 06:00 MST 89.0°F 90.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 05:00 MST 88.0°F 90.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 04:00 MST 89.0°F 92.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 03:00 MST 89.0°F 93.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 02:00 MST 90.0°F 94.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 01:00 MST 92.0°F 95.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-25 00:00 MST 93.0°F 100.0°F -7.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 23:00 MST 95.0°F 98.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 22:00 MST 97.0°F 100.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 21:00 MST 99.0°F 102.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 20:00 MST 101.0°F 104.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 19:00 MST 103.0°F 105.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 18:00 MST 105.0°F 106.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 17:00 MST 107.0°F 107.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 16:00 MST 107.0°F 107.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 15:00 MST 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 14:00 MST 107.0°F 104.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 13:00 MST 104.0°F 100.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 12:00 MST 103.0°F 99.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 11:00 MST 101.0°F 96.0°F +5.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 10:00 MST 98.0°F 95.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 09:00 MST 95.0°F 93.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 08:00 MST 92.0°F 90.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 07:00 MST 91.0°F 90.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 06:00 MST 90.0°F 89.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 05:00 MST 89.0°F 88.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 04:00 MST 90.0°F 88.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 03:00 MST 91.0°F 89.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 02:00 MST 92.0°F 88.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 01:00 MST 93.0°F 88.0°F +5.0° 48.0
2026-08-24 00:00 MST 95.0°F 92.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 23:00 MST 96.0°F 90.0°F +6.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 22:00 MST 98.0°F 91.0°F +7.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 21:00 MST 100.0°F 103.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 20:00 MST 102.0°F 105.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 19:00 MST 104.0°F 107.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 18:00 MST 107.0°F 110.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 17:00 MST 109.0°F 111.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 16:00 MST 109.0°F 112.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 15:00 MST 109.0°F 112.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 14:00 MST 109.0°F 111.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 13:00 MST 107.0°F 108.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 12:00 MST 106.0°F 107.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 11:00 MST 104.0°F 105.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 10:00 MST 101.0°F 102.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 09:00 MST 97.0°F 101.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 08:00 MST 94.0°F 97.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 07:00 MST 93.0°F 93.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 06:00 MST 92.0°F 92.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 05:00 MST 91.0°F 93.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 04:00 MST 92.0°F 96.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 03:00 MST 93.0°F 96.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 02:00 MST 94.0°F 98.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 01:00 MST 95.0°F 99.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-23 00:00 MST 97.0°F 101.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 23:00 MST 99.0°F 102.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 22:00 MST 101.0°F 104.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 21:00 MST 103.0°F 106.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 20:00 MST 105.0°F 108.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 19:00 MST 106.0°F 111.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 18:00 MST 108.0°F 113.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 17:00 MST 109.0°F 113.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 16:00 MST 110.0°F 112.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 15:00 MST 110.0°F 112.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 14:00 MST 111.0°F 111.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 13:00 MST 110.0°F 109.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 12:00 MST 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 11:00 MST 105.0°F 104.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 10:00 MST 102.0°F 100.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 09:00 MST 98.0°F 96.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 08:00 MST 94.0°F 94.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 07:00 MST 92.0°F 91.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 06:00 MST 91.0°F 91.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 05:00 MST 89.0°F 91.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 04:00 MST 90.0°F 92.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 03:00 MST 91.0°F 94.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 02:00 MST 92.0°F 95.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 01:00 MST 94.0°F 96.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-22 00:00 MST 96.0°F 97.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 23:00 MST 97.0°F 101.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 22:00 MST 99.0°F 101.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 21:00 MST 101.0°F 102.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 20:00 MST 102.0°F 106.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 19:00 MST 104.0°F 108.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 18:00 MST 107.0°F 110.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 17:00 MST 109.0°F 111.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 16:00 MST 109.0°F 111.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 15:00 MST 109.0°F 111.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 14:00 MST 109.0°F 108.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 13:00 MST 107.0°F 106.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 12:00 MST 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 11:00 MST 103.0°F 101.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 10:00 MST 100.0°F 98.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 09:00 MST 96.0°F 95.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 08:00 MST 93.0°F 94.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 07:00 MST 92.0°F 91.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 06:00 MST 90.0°F 89.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 05:00 MST 89.0°F 91.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 04:00 MST 90.0°F 91.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 03:00 MST 91.0°F 92.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 02:00 MST 92.0°F 97.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 01:00 MST 92.0°F 98.0°F -6.0° 48.0
2026-08-21 00:00 MST 94.0°F 99.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-08-20 23:00 MST 95.0°F 100.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-08-20 22:00 MST 97.0°F 101.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-08-20 21:00 MST 99.0°F 100.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-20 20:00 MST 101.0°F 101.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-20 19:00 MST 103.0°F 104.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-08-20 18:00 MST 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-08-20 17:00 MST 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 48.0

Daily forecast evolution — 2026-08-20

How the forecasted daily high and low for this local calendar day changed each time we re-collected, until the day ended. Lead time is hours until local midnight (end of day). After the day’s high (or low) has already been observed, later snapshots freeze at max/min of remaining forecast hours and observations so far — so evening “highs” do not collapse to leftover cooler hours. Final actuals: high 105.0°F , low 81.0°F. · Clear date

Daily high forecast vs actual

Each point is the expected daily high at that collection time (remaining forecast hours ∪ observations so far). After the peak is observed, the high freezes instead of dropping with evening hours. Lead time is hours until local midnight. Green dashed = finalized actual high.

94°98°103°107°111° 72h53h34h15h-4h-23h actual 105.0°F Lead time (hours)
Forecast Actual
Daily high error (forecast − actual)

Positive = forecast high too warm; negative = too cool. Post-peak points stay near zero once the high has been observed. Move the cursor across the chart for details.

-10°-5°+0°+5°+10° 72h53h34h15h-4h-23h Lead time (hours)
Daily low forecast vs actual

Each point is the expected daily low at that collection time (remaining forecast hours ∪ observations so far). After the low is observed, it freezes instead of rising with warmer hours. Lead time is hours until local midnight. Green dashed = finalized actual low.

75°81°87°92°98° 72h53h34h15h-4h-23h actual 81.0°F Lead time (hours)
Forecast Actual
Daily low error (forecast − actual)

Positive = forecast low too warm; negative = too cool. After the low is observed, later points stay near zero. Move the cursor across the chart for details.

-16°-8°+0°+8°+16° 72h53h34h15h-4h-23h Lead time (hours)
Collected at (local) Lead (h) Fcst high Act high High err Fcst low Act low Low err
2026-08-18 00:00 MST 72.0 96.0°F 105.0°F -9.0° 96.0°F 81.0°F +15.0°
2026-08-18 01:00 MST 71.0 96.0°F 105.0°F -9.0° 95.0°F 81.0°F +14.0°
2026-08-18 02:00 MST 70.0 96.0°F 105.0°F -9.0° 93.0°F 81.0°F +12.0°
2026-08-18 03:00 MST 69.0 96.0°F 105.0°F -9.0° 92.0°F 81.0°F +11.0°
2026-08-18 04:00 MST 68.0 96.0°F 105.0°F -9.0° 91.0°F 81.0°F +10.0°
2026-08-18 05:00 MST 67.0 96.0°F 105.0°F -9.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-18 06:00 MST 66.0 96.0°F 105.0°F -9.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-18 07:00 MST 65.0 96.0°F 105.0°F -9.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-18 08:00 MST 64.0 96.0°F 105.0°F -9.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-18 09:00 MST 63.0 96.0°F 105.0°F -9.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-18 10:00 MST 62.0 99.0°F 105.0°F -6.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-18 11:00 MST 61.0 102.0°F 105.0°F -3.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-18 12:00 MST 60.0 104.0°F 105.0°F -1.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-18 13:00 MST 59.0 106.0°F 105.0°F +1.0° 91.0°F 81.0°F +10.0°
2026-08-18 14:00 MST 58.0 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 91.0°F 81.0°F +10.0°
2026-08-18 15:00 MST 57.0 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 91.0°F 81.0°F +10.0°
2026-08-18 16:00 MST 56.0 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 91.0°F 81.0°F +10.0°
2026-08-18 17:00 MST 55.0 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 91.0°F 81.0°F +10.0°
2026-08-18 18:00 MST 54.0 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 91.0°F 81.0°F +10.0°
2026-08-18 19:00 MST 53.0 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-18 20:00 MST 52.0 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-18 21:00 MST 51.0 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-18 22:00 MST 50.0 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-18 23:00 MST 49.0 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 00:00 MST 48.0 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 01:00 MST 47.0 108.0°F 105.0°F +3.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 02:00 MST 46.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 03:00 MST 45.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 04:00 MST 44.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 05:00 MST 43.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 06:00 MST 42.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 07:00 MST 41.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 08:00 MST 40.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 09:00 MST 39.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 10:00 MST 38.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 11:00 MST 37.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 12:00 MST 36.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 90.0°F 81.0°F +9.0°
2026-08-19 13:00 MST 35.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 89.0°F 81.0°F +8.0°
2026-08-19 14:00 MST 34.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 89.0°F 81.0°F +8.0°
2026-08-19 15:00 MST 33.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 89.0°F 81.0°F +8.0°
2026-08-19 16:00 MST 32.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 89.0°F 81.0°F +8.0°
2026-08-19 17:00 MST 31.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 89.0°F 81.0°F +8.0°
2026-08-19 18:00 MST 30.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 89.0°F 81.0°F +8.0°
2026-08-19 19:00 MST 29.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 89.0°F 81.0°F +8.0°
2026-08-19 20:00 MST 28.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 89.0°F 81.0°F +8.0°
2026-08-19 21:00 MST 27.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 89.0°F 81.0°F +8.0°
2026-08-19 22:00 MST 26.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 89.0°F 81.0°F +8.0°
2026-08-19 23:00 MST 25.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 89.0°F 81.0°F +8.0°
2026-08-20 00:00 MST 24.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 01:00 MST 23.0 109.0°F 105.0°F +4.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 02:00 MST 22.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 77.0°F 81.0°F -4.0°
2026-08-20 03:00 MST 21.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 77.0°F 81.0°F -4.0°
2026-08-20 04:00 MST 20.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 77.0°F 81.0°F -4.0°
2026-08-20 05:00 MST 19.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 77.0°F 81.0°F -4.0°
2026-08-20 06:00 MST 18.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 79.0°F 81.0°F -2.0°
2026-08-20 07:00 MST 17.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 08:00 MST 16.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 09:00 MST 15.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 10:00 MST 14.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 11:00 MST 13.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 12:00 MST 12.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 13:00 MST 11.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 14:00 MST 10.0 107.0°F 105.0°F +2.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 15:00 MST 9.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 16:00 MST 8.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 17:00 MST 7.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 18:00 MST 6.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 19:00 MST 5.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 20:00 MST 4.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 21:00 MST 3.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 22:00 MST 2.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-20 23:00 MST 1.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 00:00 MST 0.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 01:00 MST -1.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 02:00 MST -2.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 03:00 MST -3.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 04:00 MST -4.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 05:00 MST -5.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 06:00 MST -6.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 07:00 MST -7.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 08:00 MST -8.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 09:00 MST -9.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 10:00 MST -10.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 11:00 MST -11.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 12:00 MST -12.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 13:00 MST -13.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 14:00 MST -14.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 15:00 MST -15.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 16:00 MST -16.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 17:00 MST -17.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 18:00 MST -18.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 19:00 MST -19.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 20:00 MST -20.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 21:00 MST -21.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 22:00 MST -22.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-21 23:00 MST -23.0 105.0°F 105.0°F +0.0° 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0°

Daily high / low

Earliest daily forecast vs finalized calendar-day max/min (only after the local day ends). Click a date to see how the high/low forecast evolved toward the actual.

Local date Fcst high Act high High err Fcst low Act low Low err
2026-08-27 97.0°F 111.0°F -14.0° 97.0°F 96.0°F +1.0°
2026-08-26 95.0°F 115.0°F -20.0° 95.0°F 91.0°F +4.0°
2026-08-25 93.0°F 114.0°F -21.0° 93.0°F 90.0°F +3.0°
2026-08-24 95.0°F 107.0°F -12.0° 95.0°F 88.0°F +7.0°
2026-08-23 97.0°F 112.0°F -15.0° 97.0°F 90.0°F +7.0°
2026-08-22 96.0°F 113.0°F -17.0° 96.0°F 91.0°F +5.0°
2026-08-21 94.0°F 111.0°F -17.0° 94.0°F 89.0°F +5.0°
2026-08-20 96.0°F 105.0°F -9.0° 96.0°F 81.0°F +15.0°
2026-08-19 96.0°F 109.0°F -13.0° 96.0°F 81.0°F +15.0°
2026-08-18 95.0°F 111.0°F -16.0° 95.0°F 92.0°F +3.0°
2026-08-17 93.0°F 112.0°F -19.0° 93.0°F 90.0°F +3.0°
2026-08-16 91.0°F 108.0°F -17.0° 91.0°F 91.0°F +0.0°
2026-08-15 87.0°F 105.0°F -18.0° 87.0°F 84.0°F +3.0°
2026-08-14 86.0°F 99.0°F -13.0° 86.0°F 83.0°F +3.0°