Tracking Xweather forecasts vs actuals for 50 US state capitals
← Dashboard · Arizona · America/Phoenix · 33.45, -112.07
Click an hour to load its forecast evolution above. Switch metrics with the control above.
| Hour (local) | Forecast | Actual | Error | Lead (h) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 23:00 MST | 95.0°F | 91.0°F | +4.0° | 48.0 |
| 2026-07-15 22:00 MST | 96.0°F | 92.0°F | +4.0° | 47.0 |
| 2026-07-15 21:00 MST | 97.0°F | 92.0°F | +5.0° | 46.0 |
| 2026-07-15 20:00 MST | 98.0°F | 95.0°F | +3.0° | 45.0 |
| 2026-07-15 19:00 MST | 101.0°F | 99.0°F | +2.0° | 44.0 |
| 2026-07-15 18:00 MST | 103.0°F | 108.0°F | -5.0° | 43.0 |
| 2026-07-15 17:00 MST | 105.0°F | 106.0°F | -1.0° | 42.0 |
| 2026-07-15 16:00 MST | 105.0°F | 108.0°F | -3.0° | 41.0 |
| 2026-07-15 15:00 MST | 106.0°F | 104.0°F | +2.0° | 40.0 |
| 2026-07-15 14:00 MST | 106.0°F | 105.0°F | +1.0° | 39.0 |
| 2026-07-15 13:00 MST | 105.0°F | 102.0°F | +3.0° | 38.0 |
| 2026-07-15 12:00 MST | 103.0°F | 101.0°F | +2.0° | 37.0 |
| 2026-07-15 11:00 MST | 102.0°F | 100.0°F | +2.0° | 36.0 |
| 2026-07-15 10:00 MST | 99.0°F | 98.0°F | +1.0° | 35.0 |
| 2026-07-15 09:00 MST | 97.0°F | 97.0°F | +0.0° | 34.0 |
| 2026-07-15 08:00 MST | 94.0°F | 94.0°F | +0.0° | 33.0 |
| 2026-07-15 07:00 MST | 91.0°F | 93.0°F | -2.0° | 32.0 |
| 2026-07-15 06:00 MST | 90.0°F | 93.0°F | -3.0° | 31.0 |
| 2026-07-15 05:00 MST | 91.0°F | 93.0°F | -2.0° | 30.0 |
| 2026-07-15 04:00 MST | 92.0°F | 94.0°F | -2.0° | 29.0 |
| 2026-07-15 03:00 MST | 93.0°F | 95.0°F | -2.0° | 28.0 |
| 2026-07-15 02:00 MST | 95.0°F | 96.0°F | -1.0° | 27.0 |
| 2026-07-15 01:00 MST | 96.0°F | 97.0°F | -1.0° | 26.0 |
| 2026-07-15 00:00 MST | 97.0°F | 99.0°F | -2.0° | 25.0 |
| 2026-07-14 23:00 MST | 97.0°F | 101.0°F | -4.0° | 24.0 |
| 2026-07-14 22:00 MST | 99.0°F | 102.0°F | -3.0° | 23.0 |
| 2026-07-14 21:00 MST | 100.0°F | 102.0°F | -2.0° | 22.0 |
| 2026-07-14 20:00 MST | 102.0°F | 103.0°F | -1.0° | 21.0 |
| 2026-07-14 19:00 MST | 104.0°F | 104.0°F | +0.0° | 20.0 |
| 2026-07-14 18:00 MST | 106.0°F | 106.0°F | +0.0° | 19.0 |
| 2026-07-14 17:00 MST | 107.0°F | 106.0°F | +1.0° | 18.0 |
| 2026-07-14 16:00 MST | 107.0°F | 104.0°F | +3.0° | 17.0 |
| 2026-07-14 15:00 MST | 108.0°F | 103.0°F | +5.0° | 16.0 |
| 2026-07-14 14:00 MST | 106.0°F | 101.0°F | +5.0° | 15.0 |
| 2026-07-14 13:00 MST | 106.0°F | 98.0°F | +8.0° | 14.0 |
| 2026-07-14 12:00 MST | 104.0°F | 97.0°F | +7.0° | 13.0 |
| 2026-07-14 11:00 MST | 101.0°F | 95.0°F | +6.0° | 12.0 |
| 2026-07-14 10:00 MST | 99.0°F | 92.0°F | +7.0° | 11.0 |
| 2026-07-14 09:00 MST | 97.0°F | 89.0°F | +8.0° | 10.0 |
| 2026-07-14 08:00 MST | 93.0°F | 86.0°F | +7.0° | 9.0 |
| 2026-07-14 07:00 MST | 91.0°F | 83.0°F | +8.0° | 8.0 |
| 2026-07-14 06:00 MST | 88.0°F | 82.0°F | +6.0° | 7.0 |
| 2026-07-14 05:00 MST | 89.0°F | 82.0°F | +7.0° | 6.0 |
| 2026-07-14 04:00 MST | 90.0°F | 82.0°F | +8.0° | 5.0 |
| 2026-07-14 03:00 MST | 91.0°F | 83.0°F | +8.0° | 4.0 |
| 2026-07-14 02:00 MST | 93.0°F | 82.0°F | +11.0° | 3.0 |
| 2026-07-14 01:00 MST | 93.0°F | 82.0°F | +11.0° | 2.0 |
| 2026-07-14 00:00 MST | 94.0°F | 81.0°F | +13.0° | 1.0 |
How the forecasted daily high and low for this local calendar day changed each time we re-collected, until the day ended. Lead time is hours until local midnight (end of day). Final actuals: high 108.0°F , low 77.6°F. · Clear date
Each point is the forecasted daily high at that collection time. Lead time is hours until the local day ended. Green dashed = finalized actual high.
Positive = forecast high too warm; negative = too cool. Move the cursor across the chart for details.
Each point is the forecasted daily low at that collection time. Lead time is hours until the local day ended. Green dashed = finalized actual low.
Positive = forecast low too warm; negative = too cool. Move the cursor across the chart for details.
| Collected at (local) | Lead (h) | Fcst high | Act high | High err | Fcst low | Act low | Low err |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 23:00 MST | 1.0 | 106.0°F | 108.0°F | -2.0° | 87.0°F | 77.6°F | +9.4° |
Earliest daily forecast vs finalized calendar-day max/min (only after the local day ends). Click a date to see how the high/low forecast evolved toward the actual.
| Local date | Fcst high | Act high | High err | Fcst low | Act low | Low err |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | 108.0°F | 106.0°F | +2.0° | 89.0°F | 81.0°F | +8.0° |
| 2026-07-13 | 106.0°F | 108.0°F | -2.0° | 87.0°F | 77.6°F | +9.4° |